Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 7.541716 8.372880 9.302675 10.429033 11.769098 13.328605 15.305146
2025-01-26 6.243398 7.327966 8.650003 10.415839 12.770936 15.895934 20.529942
2025-02-02 5.824791 7.119660 8.802834 11.231508 14.797531 20.127337 29.371633
2025-02-09 5.433639 6.844293 8.769355 11.721596 16.417026 24.217079 39.976463
2025-02-16 5.008073 6.447592 8.483835 11.755117 17.299293 27.365634 50.759664
2025-02-23 4.755125 6.251437 8.443073 12.131195 18.807342 32.166728 68.873903
2025-03-02 4.351183 5.790200 7.941365 11.663354 18.680431 33.633063 79.848793
2025-03-09 4.043783 5.442266 7.573251 11.359302 18.786113 35.651185 94.888804
2025-03-16 3.812471 5.188273 7.324841 11.223384 19.189932 38.554120 117.431563
2025-03-23 3.710948 5.123600 7.372656 11.625282 20.817311 45.460061 172.885332
2025-03-30 3.479231 4.836070 7.021597 11.224761 20.561995 46.872628 202.626105
2025-04-06 3.266418 4.565127 6.677017 10.795671 20.156793 47.686274 232.369588
2025-04-13 3.070972 4.325216 6.392519 10.505719 20.171072 50.478750 300.462676
2025-04-20 2.931031 4.169330 6.246354 10.488950 20.914346 56.684447 470.663452
2025-04-27 2.922658 4.228350 6.485261 11.313101 24.183040 76.878883 1650.814482
2025-05-04 2.867319 4.202601 6.565235 11.808506 26.764453 98.756920 12844.507274
2025-05-11 2.761245 4.081066 6.451917 11.842395 27.942670 115.263771 NaN
2025-05-18 2.702150 4.036956 6.482264 12.222636 30.477153 148.619741 NaN
2025-05-25 2.558896 3.834404 6.183945 11.749626 29.772875 152.976453 NaN
2025-06-01 2.443449 3.675712 5.961914 11.442267 29.622563 163.636672 NaN
2025-06-08 2.353422 3.558048 5.813700 11.304884 30.110383 184.046072 NaN
2025-06-15 2.320640 3.542190 5.870445 11.711137 33.028612 252.738120 NaN
2025-06-22 2.217363 3.391262 5.636967 11.306277 32.283582 260.427970 NaN